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Strong Spring Market Carries Into Summer Months!

 

VANCOUVER, BC August 5, 2009  - The Greater Vancouver housing market gained further momentum in July with record sales levels and a continued strengthening of home prices. The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that the number of residential property sales in Greater Vancouver totalled 4,114 in July 2009, becoming the highest volume of sales ever recorded within the REBGV for that month, outpacing the 4,023 sales in July 2003, which is the only other year that July sales exceeded the 4,000 mark.

 

Since the beginning of the year, the MLSLink® Housing Price Index (HPI) benchmark price for all residential properties in Greater Vancouver has increased 9.2 per cent to $528,821 from $484,211. However, home prices compared to July 2008 levels are down 5 per cent.

 
“Home sales this summer are seasonally higher than normal, which is due in large part to the price correction that has taken place in the last year and low interest rates,” Scott Russell, REBGV president said. “Although wellpriced listings and lower-to mid-range priced properties remain in the highest demand across Greater Vancouver, recent activity from first-time buyers is beginning to boost demand in the “move-up” segment of the market.”

 

New listings for detached, attached and apartment properties declined in Greater Vancouver, down 17.4 per cent to 5,041 in July 2009 compared to July 2008, when 6,104 new units were listed. At 12,482, the total number of property listings on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) declined 5.8 per cent compared to last month and 34 per cent compared to July 2008.

 
“It is currently taking, on average, 48 days for a home to sell in the region. Today’s market activity differs by area and property type and it’s important to tap into local housing market expertise to understand why some properties are attracting multiple offers, while others are not moving,” Russell said.
 
July 2009 home sales declined 3.4 per cent compared to June 2009, but are up 89.2 per cent when measured against the 2,174 sales recorded in July 2008. Sales of detached properties in July increased 95.2 per cent to 1,614 from the 827 detached sales recorded during the same period in 2008. The HPI benchmark price for detached properties declined 5.5 per cent from July

2008 to $711,702. Since the beginning of the year, the benchmark price for detached properties in Greater Vancouver has increased 9.8 per cent.

 
Sales of apartment properties in July 2009 increased 76.8 per cent to 1,708, compared to 966 sales in July 2008. The benchmark price of an apartment property declined 4.3 per cent from July 2008 to $365,291. Since the beginning of the year, the benchmark price for apartment properties in Greater Vancouver has increased 9.6 per cent.
 
Attached property sales in July 2009 are up 107.9 per cent to792, compared with the 381 sales in July 2008. The benchmark price of an attached unit decreased 4.6 per cent between July 2008 and 2009 to $452,085. Since the beginning of the year, the benchmark price for attached properties in Greater Vancouver has increased 6.8 per cent.
 
Courtesy of the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV). For complete erport go to
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Market Conditions Drive Strong June Housing Sales!

VANCOUVER, B.C. – July 3, 2009 – The combination of low interest rates and more affordable pricing helped propel Greater Vancouver home sale numbers to the second all-time highest total for the month of June.

 
The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that sales of detached, attached and apartment properties increased 75.6 per cent in June 2009 to 4,259, from the 2,425 sales recorded in June 2008. The figure is just short of the record-breaking 4,333 sales which occurred in June 2005.

New listings for detached, attached and apartment properties declined 17.9 per cent to 5,372 in June 2009 compared to June 2008, when 6,546 new units were listed. However, new listings increased 13.5 per cent from May to June of this year. Total active listings in Greater Vancouver currently sit at 13,252, down 27 per cent from June 2008 and 2.9 per cent below the active listings count at the end of May 2009.

 

“Price reductions and low interest rates have created an improvement in affordability, which is causing the number of sales to rise to levels comparable to 2003 to 2007,” Scott Russell, REBGV president said.
 
“Many people who were reluctant to purchase a home last fall and earlier this year are returning to the market because they see conditions that appeal to their personal and financial needs,” Russell said. “However, the current marketplace is such that buyers are more inclined to walk if they don’t like the terms of an offer.”

 
Residential benchmark prices, as calculated by the MLSLink® Housing Price Index, declined 8.2 per cent to $518,855 in June 2009 compared to June 2008.
 
The number of sales of detached properties increased 81.6 per cent to 1,667 from the 918 detached sales recorded during the same period in 2008. The benchmark price for detached properties declined 8.4 per cent to $701,384 in June 2009 compared to June 2008.
 
The number of sales of apartment properties in June 2009 increased 69.3 per cent to 1,790, compared to 1,057 sales in June 2008. The benchmark price of an apartment property declined 8.2 per cent from June 2008 to $356,880.
 
The number of attached property sales in June 2009 increased 78.2 per cent to 802, compared with the 450 sales in June 2008. The benchmark price of an attached unit declined 7.3 per cent between June 2009 and 2008 to $441,620.

Bright spots in Greater Vancouver in June 2009 compared to June 2008:

Detached

  • Burnaby up 109.7 per cent (151 units sold from 72)
  • Coquitlam up 122.2 per cent (160 units sold from 72)
  • Delta - South up 107.7 per cent (56 units sold from 27)
  • Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows up 54.3 per cent (162 units sold from 105)
  • New Westminster up 104.8 per cent (43 units sold from 21)
  • North Vancouver up 96.2 per cent (153 units sold from 78)
  • Port Moody/ Belcarra up 120 per cent (33 units sold from 15)
  • Richmond up 77.4 per cent (204 units sold from 115)
  • Squamish up 107.7 per cent (27 units sold from 13)
  • Sunshine Coast up 33.9 per cent (75 units sold from 56)
  • Vancouver East up 71.2 per cent (238 units sold from 139)
  • Vancouver West up 85.2 per cent (200 units sold from 108)
  • West Vancouver/Howe Sound up 117.8 per cent (98 units sold from 45)


Attached

  • Burnaby up 81.8 per cent (140 units sold from 77)
  • Coquitlam up 80 per cent (54 units sold from 30)
  • Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows up 48.6 per cent (55 units sold from 37)
  • North Vancouver up 121.2 per cent (73 units sold from 33)
  • Port Coquitlam up 82.6 per cent (42 units sold from 23)
  • Port Moody/ Belcarra up 77.3 per cent (39 units sold from 22)
  • Richmond up 84.5 per cent (155 units sold from 84)
  • Vancouver East up 118.5 per cent (59 units sold from 27)
  • Vancouver West up 121.8 per cent (122 units sold from 55)

Apartments

  • Burnaby up 60.4 per cent (239 units sold from 149)
  • Coquitlam up 93.9 per cent (95 units sold from 49)
  • New Westminster up 57.1 per cent (121 units sold from 77)
  • North Vancouver up 71.4 per cent (120 units sold from 70)
  • Port Coquitlam up 58.1 per cent (49 units sold from 31)
  • Port Moody/Belcarra up 128.6 per cent (48 units sold from 21)
  • Richmond up 54.1 per cent (225 units sold from 146)
  • Vancouver East up 58.7 per cent (165 units sold from 104)
  • Vancouver West up 87.2 per cent (627 units sold from 335)
  • West Vancouver/Howe Sound up 155.6 per cent (23 units sold from 9)
To view the entire BCREA News Release, go to
Read

Market Heating Up!
Interest rates have basically stayed the same this week. There is a little bit of movement in the variable rates as some lenders have decreased. The 5 year bond rate is up…..this could put pressure on the 5 year rate to increase. Interest rates should continue to be low for a long period of time yet but we may be seeing the bottom of the five year rate. Locking in may be a good idea for some but each borrower should have a look at their existing rate and what the lock in rate would be. Is it worth having your payments go up? 
Bank Prime Rate 2.25%
Term
Best
Bank Posted
1 year
2.90%
3.90%
3 year
3.05%
4.15%
5 year
3.59%
5.25%
10 year
5.25%
6.70%
25 year
9.15%
9.75%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Bold numbers denote change from last posted rates. 
  
Variable mortgage from Prime +.60..TODAY at 2.85%!
 

Courtesy of

Laura Stein - The Mortgage Centre
Telephone: 604-657-6535 ext 22
2

www.mortgagecents.ca

 

Call Laura today and tell her Lyn sent you!

Read

Buyer Activity Brings Greater Stability to Housing Market

 

VANCOUVER, B.C. – May 4, 2009 – With more buyers and fewer homes for sale in recent months, the Greater Vancouver housing market has entered a more moderate and balanced state.

 

For the sixth consecutive month, new listings for detached, attached and apartment properties declined in Greater Vancouver, down 33.7 per cent to 4,649 in April 2009 compared to April 2008, when 7,010 new units were listed. The total number of property listings on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®), while slightly down compared to last month, remains unchanged compared to the same period in 2008.

 

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential property sales in Greater Vancouver totalled 2,963 in April 2009, a decline of eight per cent from the 3,218 sales recorded in April 2008, and an increase of 31 per cent compared to last month.

 

“We’re seeing greater balance in the housing market, as evidenced by a strong sales to active listings ratio of over 19 per cent,” Scott Russell, REBGV president said. “The result is a relatively stable market in which homes are being realistically priced.

 

“The bridge between buyer demand and housing supply is continuing to narrow, which, as we see, helps bring stability to home prices,” he said. “The trends in our housing market over the last couple of months offer a much more comfortable, historically normal set of conditions.”

 

Sales of detached properties declined eight per cent to 1,190 from the 1,293 detached sales recorded during the same period in 2008. The benchmark price, as calculated by the MLSLink Housing Price Index®, for detached properties declined 12.2 per cent from April 2008 to $675,268.

 

Sales of apartment properties in April 2009 declined 10.5 per cent to 1,179, compared to 1,317 sales in April 2008. The benchmark price of an apartment property declined 12.6 per cent from April 2008 to $340,203.

 

Attached property sales in April 2009 are down 2.3 per cent to 594, compared with the 608 sales in April 2008. The benchmark price of an attached unit decreased 9.7 per cent between April 2008 and 2009 to $431,759.

 

Bright spots in Greater Vancouver in April 2009 compared to April 2008:

 

Detached:

Vancouver West        up 59.5 per cent (193 units sold from 121)

 

Attached:

Port Coquitlam          up 69.6 per cent (39 units sold from 23)

Richmond                  up 17.9 per cent (132 units sold from 112)

Vancouver West        up 46.3 per cent (98 units sold from 67)

 

Apartments:

North Vancouver      up 29.2 per cent (84 units sold from 65)

 

To read the entire news release, or to find more interesting articles and statistics, visit http://www.rebgv.org.

 

 

 

Read

Lower Rates Fuel Market

Interest rates this week continued to ease on down. There is a 5 year term at 3.59% this week with others in the range of 3.69% to 3.79% depending on the type of mortgage a borrower requires. People are rate shopping and should be paying attention to the guidelines that will affect their future mortgage happiness, along with the rock bottom rates that will affect their bottom line. Variable mortgages are still a great bet.

 
Bank Prime Rate 2.25%
Term
Best
Bank Posted
1 year
2.90%
4.20%
3 year
3.15%
4.90%
5 year
3.59%
5.45%
10 year
5.25%
7.15%
25 year
9.15%
9.75%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Bold numbers denote change from last posted rates. 
  
Variable mortgage from Prime +.75%...TODAY at 3.00%!
 

Courtesy of

Laura Stein - The Mortgage Centre
Telephone: 604-657-6535 ext 22
2

www.mortgagecents.ca

 

Call Laura today and tell her Lyn sent you!

Read

There are 3 Kinds of Lies: Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics  
Mark Twain
 
Over the past 6 months, the public has been inundated with sensationalist information in the media that has contributed to our current housing slowdown. Just like in the run-up in housing prices through the 2000s, the media has been a large contributor to a market psychology that is decoupled from market fundamentals. The difference being that the story is now negative.
 
Below are the 3 most commonly MISUSED STATISTICS in the media:
 

1) Housing Starts Drop 70%!
http://www.vancouversun.com/Business/story.html?id=1369898

 
This shouldn't really matter to buyers or sellers out there. Sure, this is related to the Real Estate market, but really, we're already overbuilt and it only makes sense for developers to stop when prices are no longer escalating.
 
Remember, these are CONSTRUCTION figures. Not sales or pricing figures. Unless you're a construction worker or materials supplier, this type of information is largely irrelevant to your real estate decision-making process.
 
 
This kind of information is important for buyers and sellers to know and also helpful for realtors to use. Gone are the days when a realtor could put up a sign and sell it $20,000 over list price in 12 hours. Back then, product was king and realtors spent most of their time trying to convince sellers to list with them. Now, with more product available and time-on-market figures increasing, the market is more balanced.
 
That said, a drop in sales has no bearing on price. Remember, these are UNIT SALE figures, not price figures. As an example, in December, the number of home sales dropped off in Kelowna; however, the average home sale price increased.
 
3) Average House Prices Expected to Drop 11% in 2009!
http://www.economicnews.ca/cepnews/wire/article/23902
 
This is the most damaging type of media reports that come out. Yes, it is technically true that Average Canadian Home Prices in 2009 will likely show an 11% drop from the Average Price in 2008; however, it does not take into account the fact that the market already turned in the middle of 2008, with the average price falling drastically since then. Also, the number of units sold in a given period has a huge effect on how averages are calculated.
 
A simple example:
2008 Jan - June > 100 Units Sell at $200,000 Average
2008 July - Dec > 50 Units Sell at $170,000 Average
What is the Average for 2008? $190,000
 
Of course, at the beginning of the year in January 2009, prices are ALREADY at the December 2008 figure of $170,000, or 11% BELOW the 2008 Average of $190,000. In this example, the slowdown began in the middle of 2008.
 
So even though the average price in 2009 is expected to be 11% below the average price in 2008, the January price already reflects this difference and a further drop in prices is not expected. Using these predictive models, we can see how average prices over the year can really skew the figures.
Read

Property Sales Strengthen in Current Market Cycle

A news release from the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver
 
VANCOUVER, B.C. - April 2, 2009.
The Metro Vancouver housing market experienced a movement away from volatility and toward stability to start the spring season.

 

Home sales in March 2009 returned to levels witnessed at the beginning of the decade, with 2,265 sales recorded across Metro Vancouver for the month, a 53 per cent increase over February but a 24.4 per cent decrease over March 2008, when 2,997 sales were recorded.

 

Since 1999, March sales have increased 31 per cent, on average, over the month of February. March 2009 marks the second consecutive month that sales have outperformed the ten-year average for this

month-over-month comparison.

 
"There’s more confidence in the housing market today than we were seeing late last year. Sales activity is rising to more typical levels given the season, and the number of homes being listed for sale is
levelling off," said Scott Russell, president of the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV).
 
New residential listings on the MLS® declined 22 per cent in March 2009 to 4,385 compared to

March 2008. This is the fifth month in a row that new listings have decreased year-over-year and the third consecutive month where those declines exceeded 20 per cent. Despite these trends, total active listings at the end of March 2009 had still reached 14,579, a 19 per cent increase compared to the end of March 2008.

 
"REALTORS® are seeing an increasing level of interest from first-time buyers who are attracted to

low interest rates, good supply of housing, greater affordability, and a considerably lower overall cost of servicing a mortgage compared to recent years," Russell said.

 

Sales of detached properties in March 2009 declined 19.6 per cent to 897 from the 1,116 units sold during the same period in 2008. The benchmark price, as calculated by the MLSLink Housing Price Index®, for detached properties declined 15.1 per cent from March 2008 to $649,342.

 
Sales of apartment properties declined 28.8 per cent last month to 976, compared to the 1,370 sales in March 2008. The benchmark price of an apartment property declined 13.5 per cent from March 2008 to $337,099.
 
Attached property sales in March 2009 decreased 23.3 per cent to 392, compared with the 511 sales during the same month in 2008. The benchmark price of an attached unit declined 11.2 per cent between March 2008 and 2009 to $420,563.
 
To see the news release in its entirety, including graphs and charts, go to http://www.rebgv.org/sites/default/files/REBGV%20Stats%20Package_April%202009.pdf
 
The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver is an association representing more than 9,400 REALTORS®. The Real Estate Board provides a variety of membership services, including the Multiple Listing Service®. For more information on real estate, statistics and buying or selling a home contact a local REALTOR® or visit www.rebgv.org.
 
Read

All Good News for Buyers!
 
The market is heating up again for spring! All eyes are on first time home buyers who are actively looking at purchasing their dream home. Low interest rates and more affordable pricing seems to be sparking renewed interest. If you are not looking at purchasing a new home at this time, consider the benefits of refinancing at today’s great low rates.
 
If you are in a variable mortgage, stay in it!  
 
Bank Prime Rate 2.50%
Term
Best
Bank Posted
1 year
3.50%
5.00%
3 year
3.89%
5.55%
5 year
4.09%
5.79%
10 year
5.25%
7.35%
25 year
9.15%
9.75%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Bold numbers denote change from last posted rates. 
  
Variable mortgage from Prime + .80%...TODAY at 3.30%!
 

Courtesy of

Laura Stein - The Mortgage Centre
Telephone: 604-657-6535 ext 22
2

www.mortgagecents.ca

 

Call Laura today and tell her Lyn sent you!


Read

Interest rates on the longer terms came down last week, especially the 5 year term. Lenders are starting to pass along some of the some of the good things to get the economy rolling. The Real Estate market appears busier with open houses reporting an increase in traffic. Keep floating variable rate mortgage holders!
 
Bank Prime Rate 3.00%
Term
Best
Bank Posted
1 year
3.50%
5.00%
3 year
4.69%
5.55%
5 year
4.39%
5.79%
10 year
6.05%
7.35%
25 year
9.25%
9.75%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Bold numbers denote change from last posted rates.     
 

Courtesy of

Laura Stein - The Mortgage Centre
Telephone: 604-657-6535 ext 22
2

www.mortgagecents.ca

Read

Welcome to a new year of possibilities! Interest rates on mortgages have been edging down and should continue this trend for many months as the economy works the bugs out. The Bank of Canada meets on January 20th and should lower rates by .25%-.50%.

 
The Canadian Government is hammering on the banks to quit hoarding money by increasing their spreads they charge and so we should see more long term rate decreases as well.
 
Bank Prime Rate 3.50%
Term
Best
Bank Posted
1 year
4.00%
5.60%
3 year
4.69%
6.25%
5 year
4.75%
6.75%
10 year
6.10%
7.55%
25 year
6.75%
n/a
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Bold numbers denote change from last posted rates.     
 

Courtesy of

Laura Stein - The Mortgage Centre
Telephone: 604-657-6535 ext 22
2

www.mortgagecents.ca

              
Read

Royal LePage Foresees
National Home Prices Declining Three Percent This Year
 

January 6, 2009 - THE CANADIAN PRESS

 
TORONTO - The average price of a house in Canada is likely to decline by three per cent this year, according to Royal LePage Real Estate Services (TSX:BRE.UN). The number of residential resale transactions is forecast to decline 3.5 per cent nationally, though the country's largest realty operator expects that there will still be local warm spots.
 
The forecast issued today follows a "significant reset" in 2008 - which Royal LePage predicted a year ago would see a 3.5 per cent average increase across the country.

 

In the event, preliminary numbers show a 1.1 per cent decline for 2008. Royal LePage says this came as "emotional reaction to recent economic and political instability did much to dampen consumer confidence during the latter part of 2008, causing a marked slowdown in house sales activity."

However, it predicts that "a more rational understanding of the issues" along with government corrective measures will cause activity to pick up in the latter half of 2009.

 
Overall, Royal LePage sees "only modest price and unit sales corrections." Nationally, the average house price is forecast to dip to $295,000, off from $304,000 in 2008, which in turn was down from $307,265 in the peak year of 2007.
 
"While Canada's housing market is anticipated to continue to move through a period of adjustment over the next six months, we should expect modestly lower home prices, not a U.S.-style collapse, which was brought on by a structural failure of the entire American credit system," stated Royal LePage CEO Phil Soper. "Most consumers are not aware that nationally, Canadian housing market activity peaked in 2007 and has been adjusting lower since. We are well into this inevitable cyclical correction."
 
In spite of the cooling trend on a national level, price and activity gains are still anticipated in some provinces, the Royal LePage report added. In mid-sized cities where prices remain below the national average, such as Regina and Winnipeg, prices are expected to increase moderately. Meanwhile, the steepest decline is forecast for Canada's most expensive city, Vancouver - "a natural cyclical reaction to an extended period of high price appreciation."
Read

According to the most recent Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver’s statistics, house prices have only dropped 12% from December last year. The average December 2008 sale price for a resale house in the east side is listed at $589,264.00, down from $672,056.00 last year. On the west side, the average price has risen slightly by 3%, up to $1,591,048.00 from $1,540,955.00 last year.

Considering the beating the market has taken in the last few months, it seems to me this is almost encouraging news! This long overdue market adjustment is reducing prices to a more affordable level. Lower pricing, combined with the lowest mortgage rates Canada has seen in awhile, is enticing qualified buyers to jump into the market again snapping up some very good deals.

Talk around the office water cooler is that realtors are noticing an increase in sales in December, up from the past few months, that makes the approaching spring market look promising. If it keeps up, the surplus of properties for sale will begin to be absorbed resulting in the market balancing out a little more and price drops levelling off. Sellers won’t feel so battered and buyers won’t feel so poor - in other words, a fair market!

If I had a crystal ball, I’d be the happiest realtor in Vancouver! But for now, all I can do is look at the statistics and keep my fingers crossed, just like you.
Wishing you a successful 2009!
To see the latest December 2008 stats, click on the link below.
_media/Documents/REBGV Dec Stats 2008.png
Read
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